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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41638

Oman Club VS Sur

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.51%
Draw
24.09%
Away
28.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7966
Log loss
1.2590

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
SHA-256
d892e7cf3d8fb8211aa74732b6eea48ec96053145a2e65822cc9ca59f4bf95c2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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