Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #41554

Hapoel Ramat HaSharon VS Hapoel Sderot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 17:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.23%
Draw
26.17%
Away
41.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7007
Log loss
1.1322

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
SHA-256
17db1efd08bc8519abc14393203c67fa2c64b62732be61f3e45c12e87170db01

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →