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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41489

Agigea VS Unirea Braniştea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.80%
Draw
24.17%
Away
50.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8594
Log loss
1.3549

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:36 UTC
SHA-256
9385a14d719c6bdb713279c699bc616a4c9f07f469843fed0d0157e1f8db2e4d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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