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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41187

Oxford City VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.42%
Draw
22.29%
Away
29.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

6 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4015
Log loss
0.7253

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
SHA-256
7c7eb6e0f5af129d483c07dde860f793fa7b2ae46b4ebad03dbb618be8de95b7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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