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Frozen pre-match forecast · #41102

Real Oruro VS Real Tomayapo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.05%
Draw
21.39%
Away
25.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3315
Log loss
0.6339

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
SHA-256
ef66c1efb19a6e3e91fcdadcd01b99d846f7b98d44ff7317f3f1f6a39cd0285b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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