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Frozen pre-match forecast · #40997

12 de Junio VH VS SOL DE America

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.55%
Draw
29.74%
Away
37.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7417
Log loss
1.2126

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
SHA-256
53fd65e303626977d4d68122a1094b8d800fd3085fad2523ecb401725c84218d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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