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Frozen pre-match forecast · #40755

Enyimba VS Plateau United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.07%
Draw
27.57%
Away
22.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3753
Log loss
0.6917

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:09 UTC
SHA-256
961fd5c07ebe6cc889ec1635b2c88bd06df3472bf2fb2b5abc081a74258c081b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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