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Frozen pre-match forecast · #40382

1908 SZAC VS SC Sopron

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.67%
Draw
25.06%
Away
44.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4674
Log loss
0.8149

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
be8bb3352ae0f1a3ac188b843d66f02caa6ca41acbbd9632dc3892ead82d5897

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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