Frozen pre-match forecast · #40332
Intercity VS Yeclano
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 04 Oct 2026 · 10:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 40.87%
- Draw
- 31.73%
- Away
- 27.40%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.7082
- Log loss
- 1.1479
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v1
- Captured at
- 23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
- SHA-256
- 8498ad1e4b53a94d80b400f4f99d2edf156f2ff301a1d70c10dc6d0d8ee4234c
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.