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Frozen pre-match forecast · #40296

Bohemians 1905 II VS Písek

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.01%
Draw
22.71%
Away
42.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8987
Log loss
1.4824

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
9695acd57304e62da1d43d24f542cd66c6c2f4f5b2d4a639e6da07af2568323c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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