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Frozen pre-match forecast · #40199

IRB Nezla VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.76%
Draw
28.23%
Away
33.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5637
Log loss
0.9478

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
f984235fe542a30e70d2fb517d08d4d242a8c48f2fd91810c6c84add9c3f8e1c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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