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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4002

Odd II VS Stabæk II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.32%
Draw
33.38%
Away
27.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6729
Log loss
1.0971

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:53 UTC
SHA-256
25b53616698f6ae3a00ec8f7e1701e5fd7baf3ae28085aa18dad793035ddb940

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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