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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39822

VIFK W VS EBK W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.96%
Draw
21.00%
Away
60.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0613
Log loss
1.6628

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
7590a69f472f742b6fdc8ee7bc03397c8a10a553ddb424f4d2b37da118183c99

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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