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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3977

Internacional de Bogota VS Atletico Nacional

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 01:20 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.13%
Draw
31.20%
Away
47.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4158
Log loss
0.7409

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:52 UTC
SHA-256
8fc63772e7f8e37b9566615c7e645b84c40f6d15f0aeae364ed9cc36ace76afe

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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