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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39739

Haddington Athletic VS Cumbernauld Colts

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
57.21%
Draw
21.12%
Away
21.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9855
Log loss
1.5292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
62122e4dd6b5bdea817def97625c4a34f6849d8ac2f8f82f5ebea57ac19530f2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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