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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39723

Bidezarra VS Beti Onak

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.63%
Draw
29.82%
Away
30.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7430
Log loss
1.2101

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:08 UTC
SHA-256
c0f0ffae9535382db7cb07abedd4b2ee817a6c4fa90a131a1d1b749af02ce59c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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