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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39559

Križevci VS Solin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.33%
Draw
24.99%
Away
29.68%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7624
Log loss
1.2147

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
4fdcbcfcc95b7163ed4fbedce4d1050e5003026b5671f6c00a1c23dda6bc0f53

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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