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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39133

Volda VS Orkla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
83.59%
Draw
9.77%
Away
6.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0409
Log loss
0.1792

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
6b8ca77ebe611d509b30b5cfa58bd3344f91c4fc057cb1958ef9b1972b5fc927

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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