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Frozen pre-match forecast · #39077

Sigma Olomouc II VS Vítkovice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.38%
Draw
27.33%
Away
22.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3706
Log loss
0.6856

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
a0a82d6b58d1764362ecdc8d4b5e4f0f4ead35211c3c79d1c6efef25f88f193b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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