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Frozen pre-match forecast · #38874

Dhofar VS Oman Club

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.70%
Draw
29.82%
Away
39.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5493
Log loss
0.9292

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
9c832284d3d81b751e4393581bce768762681ba1e40ec9b1872b0f1770130e8a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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