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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3865

Tarxien Rainbows VS Attard

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.84%
Draw
32.35%
Away
22.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4609
Log loss
0.8021

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
5b00fc2425954538d5acf5a2c4c0113353f715a5eeeed8e7aacd59c1770e79d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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