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Frozen pre-match forecast · #38539

Vsetín VS Bohemians 1905

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.51%
Draw
1.83%
Away
97.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0009
Log loss
0.0237

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:07 UTC
SHA-256
8e5e8ca4837ae23f75857d3d6eb0384d2d69253db24abd8b8c74b32636ca3240

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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