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Frozen pre-match forecast · #38284

CRB VS Cuiaba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.96%
Draw
27.05%
Away
23.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3912
Log loss
0.7142

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
09507105e69bfad5908544b118465bd0b6660584fad38373ad2367a6c8743c18

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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