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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3808

Al Jeel VS Hajer

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.84%
Draw
45.98%
Away
45.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5038
Log loss
0.7770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
8408b292da3de1c337c4d0efdaa8e27259a8dfe3ffdf13d1662d81995f5e68aa

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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