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Frozen pre-match forecast · #38068

Comillas VS Pradejón

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.83%
Draw
27.48%
Away
24.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8714
Log loss
1.3988

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
7fd68a43d7cf3fb753f59b8ec9b1f8d9ea9eecc1a7a164f74d70ad853a7e1b22

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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