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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3801

Antoniano VS Mijas Las Lagunas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.50%
Draw
33.13%
Away
34.37%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6709
Log loss
1.1047

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:50 UTC
SHA-256
2647ed02eb57f77e32cfef0a64be45b559cde421587b4ec72b5d2a094df3f138

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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