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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37970

Sporting Braga W VS Sporting CP W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.18%
Draw
28.72%
Away
49.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7983
Log loss
1.2475

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
fa72ecce0c04e16018379cb21cd944c3964dba23fad985380a26fc99a78863bf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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