Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #37952

MSK Tesla Stropkov VS Lipany

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.59%
Draw
23.85%
Away
27.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8919
Log loss
1.4334

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
82cf7eb70c5b3cdb1698a9882dfd663b81546fc5f0326dc8d253567edc4d6a16

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →