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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37748

Eik-Tønsberg VS Bjarg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.42%
Draw
20.14%
Away
61.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2232
Log loss
0.4871

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
83879e406079fe0c378dcf1bfcadf1fa097f7a03daa6f9337a545ab6cacc4579

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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