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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37713

Valladolid VS Cordoba

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.11%
Draw
26.00%
Away
30.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4867
Log loss
0.8414

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
151951f62f74911c452a1a117d7cd5bbe3493bdb72ca39b873ed33d80f125bb9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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