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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37459

Villefranche VS Versailles

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.30%
Draw
25.97%
Away
45.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4421
Log loss
0.7824

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
b85a3fcbfad41f4daee5ab4d82f77600222ea15757a0084ea79873db6ca2c123

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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