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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37382

Manresa VS UD Logroñés II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.91%
Draw
25.27%
Away
40.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5290
Log loss
0.8959

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:06 UTC
SHA-256
7fb14296ed2d9e7a4c80c02ccec4f34c966a028592b305a537cdc0eccefc0081

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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