Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #37132

Eastbourne Borough VS Welwyn Garden City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
82.60%
Draw
10.81%
Away
6.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0463
Log loss
0.1912

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
SHA-256
c1c1bb4c046d774594263746143bf057a363e1a97e2fd909e5e5fbbc06dff87a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →