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Frozen pre-match forecast · #37029

Koprivnica VS Uskok Klis

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.39%
Draw
20.40%
Away
58.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2620
Log loss
0.5411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
SHA-256
8e3dcbbcd47bc5e5d01c65956288aa575247997493c4bea2ccb2cc2b2eb4ecb3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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