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Frozen pre-match forecast · #36695

Viking II VS Våg

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
66.06%
Draw
18.49%
Away
15.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1852
Log loss
1.8670

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
SHA-256
1b1865638eb1d0c692b810181b2845fc4df734567fee35c52f9c86ff396c1d8e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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