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Frozen pre-match forecast · #36537

Trollhättan VS Tvååker

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.43%
Draw
20.84%
Away
24.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3123
Log loss
0.6083

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
SHA-256
419166309e54ec90b4d66d6c9fd734676f6a4435b8f522332ca79dd2689ca17b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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