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Frozen pre-match forecast · #36307

Örebro SK W VS Linköping W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.46%
Draw
22.55%
Away
55.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9812
Log loss
1.5390

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:05 UTC
SHA-256
f3017f42c4116e4941c627333d071a4f0a602fc662363667ecd1fff5a943841e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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