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Frozen pre-match forecast · #36050

Bendel Insurance VS Ikorodu City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.75%
Draw
20.33%
Away
14.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1878
Log loss
0.4345

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
SHA-256
5006a3b4285f16712ee4af9b0a85fcc28ac2d97e7ee0c31728d9d9e0d3a6cd63

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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