Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #36028

Agigea VS Unirea Braniştea

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.63%
Draw
25.24%
Away
49.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8581
Log loss
1.3613

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
SHA-256
c7ed1c0faa429eb9a3563f33b8328307ace48c2eeccc2b2bd669b26d47a53323

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →