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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35970

AS Soliman VS US Tataouine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.42%
Draw
32.23%
Away
35.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6855
Log loss
1.1264

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
SHA-256
0c4941c75a3e1b51b0b26aaadcedde165b9bc835fe41c9f21c15acc3853f5f9e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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