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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35876

Chelyabinsk VS Enisey

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.07%
Draw
28.30%
Away
36.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7713
Log loss
1.2623

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
SHA-256
489f4e8b0f2a15805b50a1d267c1e5cd71f1fbaecb4c2344cb4eb716f27a5401

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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