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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35795

Kosovo U21 VS Finland U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
9.32%
Draw
19.37%
Away
71.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 490-minute result
Brier score
1.1673
Log loss
1.6414

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:04 UTC
SHA-256
65ec99b660c41382b8df884e3a4f89fa33641bc1e9d1052b395b74e395a148b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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