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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35734

Juventud Torremolinos VS Algeciras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.06%
Draw
23.74%
Away
24.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9019
Log loss
1.4188

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
2a33e6d87366217d844723457e089eeae8685b40ba42a6649ad564a58c53acd7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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