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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3571

Čáslav VS Horní Ředice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.32%
Draw
33.33%
Away
43.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8870
Log loss
1.4559

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
b4d3674cd5567b4d6411b7c8f029bd7d6a3f6f50b67294f93698fc2ee2b62243

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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