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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35684

Hanwell Town VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.76%
Draw
21.05%
Away
59.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2499
Log loss
0.5244

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
f8a7338dda0c4d027052eabcfcf37cca106acab83de6615695504484817e3fca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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