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Frozen pre-match forecast · #3565

Krka VS Dekani

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.50%
Draw
39.40%
Away
22.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9105
Log loss
1.5099

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
d0a776bc38c9a7d953fc7e83516dedca0aaf21195c35c0112042dd203974844c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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