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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35640

Unirea Sântana VS Progresul Pecica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
61.11%
Draw
20.22%
Away
18.66%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2269
Log loss
0.4924

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
1f30fc4b27cc7de7cbd73479f25d1a395356743b23a574cac08a123148cbf898

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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