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Frozen pre-match forecast · #35539

Annan Athletic VS Hibernian U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.42%
Draw
25.23%
Away
34.35%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5366
Log loss
0.9058

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
77ebb01e8e6242463ea1fb30301843bec9ce0bb87b7a29f2a142f2228da28321

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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