Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #35537

Airdrie United VS Berwick Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
76.03%
Draw
14.95%
Away
9.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

7 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0879
Log loss
0.2740

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:03 UTC
SHA-256
96eae4ff52a831ceac37ad820507a216c31996ba52af2491b0698b9293841c20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →