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Frozen pre-match forecast · #34971

Nacional Potosí VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.76%
Draw
25.00%
Away
42.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

9 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6931
Log loss
1.1161

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v1
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:02 UTC
SHA-256
8d9c6316fde676e2668b2bb933521152fe5db3681907ef204522b3ef399fda4a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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